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Real option-based optimization for financial incentive allocation in infrastructure projects under public–private

Shuai LI, Da HU, Jiannan CAI, Hubo CAI

《工程管理前沿（英文）》 2020年第7卷第3期页码 413-425 doi: 10.1007/s42524-019-0045-0

摘要： Financial incentives that stimulate energy investments under public–private partnerships are considered scarce public resources, which require deliberate allocation to the most economically justified projects to maximize the social benefits. This study aims to solve the financial incentive allocation problem through a real option-based nonlinear integer programming approach. Real option theory is leveraged to determine the optimal timing and the corresponding option value of providing financial incentives. The ambiguity in the evolution of social benefits, the decision-maker’s attitude toward ambiguity, and the uncertainty in social benefits and incentive costs are all considered. Incentives are offered to the project portfolio that generates the maximum total option value. The project portfolio selection is formulated as a stochastic knapsack problem with random option values in the objective function and random incentive costs in the probabilistic budget constraint. The linear probabilistic budget constraint is subsequently transformed into a nonlinear deterministic one. Finally, the integer non-linear programming problem is solved, and the optimality gap is computed to assess the quality of the optimal solution. A case study is presented to illustrate how the limited financial incentives can be optimally allocated under uncertainty and ambiguity, which demonstrates the efficacy of the proposed method.

关键词： financial incentives public–private partnerships energy infrastructure projects real option optimization uncertainty

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下降敲入续租期权定价研究

吴云,何建敏

《中国工程科学》 2004年第6卷第12期页码 47-50

摘要：

阐述了现代租赁的基本内涵和实物期权的基本原理，提出了下降敲入续租期权定价模型及其定价求解，最后给出了算例分析。

关键词：租赁续租租赁期权实物期权下降敲入期权

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基于敲出障碍期权和博弈理论的项目投资决策分析

吴云,何建敏

《中国工程科学》 2005年第7卷第9期页码 44-48

摘要：

阐述了实物期权的基本原理和敲出障碍期权的内涵及其定价求解，提出了基于敲出障碍期权的实物期权定价方法和博弈理论的项目投资决策分析，分析了双寡头市场结构下的项目投资决策，给出了算例分析。

关键词：敲出障碍期权实物期权博弈理论投资决策

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Second unmanipulated allogeneic transplantation could be used as a salvage option for patients with relapsed

《医学前沿（英文）》 2021年第15卷第5期页码 728-739 doi: 10.1007/s11684-021-0833-x

摘要： Relapse is the main problem after allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (allo-HSCT). The outcome of a second allo-HSCT (HSCT2) for relapse post-HSCT has shown promising results in some previous studies. However, little is known about the efficacy of HSCT2 in patients with relapsed/refractory acute leukemia (AL) post-chemotherapy plus modified donor lymphocyte infusion (post-Chemo+m-DLI) after the first allo-HSCT (HSCT1). Therefore, we retrospectively analyzed the efficacy of HSCT2 in 28 patients with relapsed/refractory AL post-Chemo+m-DLI in our center. With a median follow-up of 918 (457–1732) days, 26 patients (92.9%) achieved complete remission, and 2 patients exhibited persistent disease. The probabilities of overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) 1 year after HSCT2 were 25.0% and 21.4%, respectively. The cumulative incidences of nonrelapse mortality on day 100 and at 1 year post-HSCT2 were 7.1%±4.9% and 25.0%±8.4%. The cumulative incidences of relapse were 50.0%±9.8% and 53.5%±9.9% at 1 and 2 years post-HSCT2, respectively. Risk stratification prior to HSCT1 and percentage of blasts before HSCT2 were independent risk factors for OS post-HSCT2, and relapse within 6 months post-HSCT1 was an independent risk factor for DFS and relapse post-HSCT2. Our findings suggest that HSCT2 could be a salvage option for patients with relapsed AL post-Chemo+m-DLI.

关键词： second hematopoietic stem cell transplantation acute leukemia relapse chemotherapy modified donor lymphocyte infusion

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General modeling and optimization technique for real-world earth observation satellite scheduling

《工程管理前沿（英文）》页码 695-709 doi: 10.1007/s42524-023-0263-3

摘要： Over the last two decades, many modeling and optimization techniques have been developed for earth observation satellite (EOS) scheduling problems, but few of them show good generality to be engineered in real-world applications. This study proposes a general modeling and optimization technique for common and real-world EOS scheduling cases; it includes a decoupled framework, a general modeling method, and an easy-to-use algorithm library. In this technique, a framework that decouples the modeling, constraints, and optimization of EOS scheduling problems is built. With this framework, the EOS scheduling problems are appropriately modeled in a general manner, where the executable opportunity, another format of the well-known visible time window per EOS operation, is viewed as a selectable resource to be optimized. On this basis, 10 types of optimization algorithms, such as Tabu search and genetic algorithm, and a parallel competitive memetic algorithm, are developed. For simplified EOS scheduling problems, the proposed technique shows better performance in applicability and effectiveness than the state-of-the-art algorithms. In addition, a complicatedly constrained real-world benchmark exampled by a four-EOS Chinese commercial constellation is provided, and the technique is qualified and outperforms the in-use scheduling system by more than 50%.

关键词： earth observation satellite scheduling general technique optimization algorithm commercial constellation real-world benchmark

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Discussion of solutions to ethical issues in real-world study

null

《医学前沿（英文）》 2014年第8卷第3期页码 316-320 doi: 10.1007/s11684-014-0354-y

摘要：

In recent years, the paradigm of real-world study (RWS) has been at the forefront of clinical research worldwide, particularly in the field of traditional Chinese medicine. In this paper, basic features and nature of real-world clinical studies are discussed, and ethical issues in different stages of RWS are raised and reviewed. Moreover, some preliminary solutions to these issues, such as protecting subjects during the process of RWS and performing ethical review, are presented based on recent practices and basic ethical rules to improve the scientific validity and ethical level of RWS.

关键词： real-world study ethics strategy

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Omnichannel retail operations with ship-to-store and ship-from-store options under supply disruption

《工程管理前沿（英文）》页码 158-170 doi: 10.1007/s42524-022-0238-9

摘要： Omnichannel retailing strategies are widely used in practice and have been extensively studied in recent years, but few studies have explored omnichannel retailing operations in response to supply disruption in the post-pandemic era. To fill this gap, this study explores whether the adoption of omnichannel fulfillment options (i.e., ship-from-store and ship-to-store options) can mitigate the risk of supply disruption in a supply chain where a retailer orders products from a reliable supplier and a risky supplier, respectively. Under the omnichannel retailing strategy, the retailer’s order quantity from the risky supplier may increase or decrease while that from the reliable supplier may increase. Interestingly, it is possible to achieve a win–win–win outcome when the supply disruption risk is high and the market share of the channel offered by the risky supplier is low. Moreover, the entire supply chain benefits from the omnichannel retailing strategy even if it faces a high level of disruption risk.

关键词： supply chain disruption omnichannel fulfillment option ship-from-store ship-to-store

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Quantification of emission variability for off-road equipment in China based on real-world measurements

《环境科学与工程前沿（英文）》 2022年第16卷第2期 doi: 10.1007/s11783-021-1455-x

摘要：

• Emissions from 53 in-use diesel-fueled off-road equipment were measured.

关键词： Off-road equipment Portable emission measurement system (PEMS) Real-world emissions Diesel engine

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Scientific computation of big data in real-world clinical research

null

《医学前沿（英文）》 2014年第8卷第3期页码 310-315 doi: 10.1007/s11684-014-0358-7

摘要：

The advent of the big data era creates both opportunities and challenges for traditional Chinese medicine (TCM). This study describes the origin, concept, connotation, and value of studies regarding the scientific computation of TCM. It also discusses the integration of science, technology, and medicine under the guidance of the paradigm of real-world, clinical scientific research. TCM clinical diagnosis, treatment, and knowledge were traditionally limited to literature and sensation levels; however, primary methods are used to convert them into statistics, such as the methods of feature subset optimizing, multi-label learning, and complex networks based on complexity, intelligence, data, and computing sciences. Furthermore, these methods are applied in the modeling and analysis of the various complex relationships in individualized clinical diagnosis and treatment, as well as in decision-making related to such diagnosis and treatment. Thus, these methods strongly support the real-world clinical research paradigm of TCM.

关键词： big data real world clinical research Chinese medicine medical computing

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Convergence to real-time decision making

James M. TIEN

《工程管理前沿（英文）》 2020年第7卷第2期页码 204-222 doi: 10.1007/s42524-019-0040-5

摘要： Real-time decision making reflects the convergence of several digital technologies, including those concerned with the promulgation of artificial intelligence and other advanced technologies that underpin real-time actions. More specifically, real-time decision making can be depicted in terms of three converging dimensions: Internet of Things, decision making, and real-time. The Internet of Things include tangible goods, intangible services, ServGoods, and connected ServGoods. Decision making includes model-based analytics (since before 1990), information-based Big Data (since 1990), and training-based artificial intelligence (since 2000), and it is bolstered by the evolving real-time technologies of sensing (i.e., capturing streaming data), processing (i.e., applying real-time analytics), reacting (i.e., making decisions in real-time), and learning (i.e., employing deep neural networks). Real-time includes mobile networks, autonomous vehicles, and artificial general intelligence. Central to decision making, especially real-time decision making, is the ServGood concept, which the author introduced in an earlier paper (2012). It is a physical product or good encased by a services layer that renders the good more adaptable and smarter for a specific purpose or use. Addition of another communication sensors layer could further enhance its smartness and adaptiveness. Such connected ServGoods constitute a solid foundation for the advanced products of tomorrow which can further display their growing intelligence through real-time decisions.

关键词： real-time decision making services goods ServGoods Big Data Internet of Things artificial intelligence wireless communications

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Construction of a shared system-based real-world clinical research system

null

《医学前沿（英文）》 2014年第8卷第3期页码 382-388 doi: 10.1007/s11684-014-0368-5

摘要：

Hubei Provincial Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine established research outpatient clinics to contribute to the major disease-entity research conducted by the National Traditional Chinese Medicine Clinical Research Base and to the construction of the National Traditional Chinese Medicine Treatment and Clinical Research Information Sharing System. With a view of developing a “real-world traditional Chinese medicine clinical research paradigm,” these clinics explored the mode of constructing research outpatient clinics from the aspects of clinical research, health management, and characteristics diagnosis and treatment.

关键词： clinical research shared system real world research outpatient clinic research hospital

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WEIS wheel speed real-time measuring method for VOSM

Mengyao PAN, Guixiong LIU, Xiaobin HONG, Tusheng LIN,

《机械工程前沿（英文）》 2010年第5卷第3期页码 322-327 doi: 10.1007/s11465-010-0022-0

摘要： Wheel speed is one of the key parameters of vehicle operating attitude. To solve the problems in traditional wheel speed measuring methods, such as low measurement precision and the lack of real-time monitoring of the vehicle’s operating attitude, a wheel embedded intelligent sensors (WEIS) wheel speed measuring method for vehicle operating safety states monitoring (VOSM) is innovatively proposed. Radial acceleration signal is obtained through a WEIS module embedded in the hub. Using wavelet packet to implement wavelet de-noising for the non-stationary acceleration signals, and adopting short-time Fourier transform (STFT) algorithm to extract the signal characteristics, the wheel speed measurement can be achieved. The experimental result shows that under experimental conditions the speed measurement error is −2.05%, and the speed measuring response time is 0.45 s.

关键词： wheel embedded intelligent sensing wheel speed monitoring

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Clinical data quality problems and countermeasure for real world study

null

《医学前沿（英文）》 2014年第8卷第3期页码 352-357 doi: 10.1007/s11684-014-0351-1

摘要：

Real world study (RWS) has become a hotspot for clinical research. Data quality plays a vital role in research achievement and other clinical research fields. In this paper, the common quality problems in the RWS of traditional Chinese medicine are discussed, and a countermeasure is proposed.

关键词： real world study traditional Chinese medicine clinical and research information sharing system data quality problem data quality control

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A model reference adaptive control based method for actuator delay estimation in real-time testing

Cheng CHEN, James M. RICLES

《结构与土木工程前沿（英文）》 2010年第4卷第3期页码 277-286 doi: 10.1007/s11709-010-0072-8

摘要： Real-time testing provides a viable experimental technique to evaluate the performance of structural systems subjected to dynamic loading. Servo-hydraulic actuators are often utilized to apply calculated displacements from an integration algorithm to the experimental structures in a real-time manner. The compensation of actuator delay is therefore critical to achieve stable and reliable experimental results. The advances in compensation methods based on adaptive control theory enable researchers to accommodate variable actuator delay and achieve good actuator control for real-time tests. However, these adaptive methods all require time duration for actuator delay adaptation. Experiments show that a good actuator delay estimate can help optimize the performance of the adaptive compensation methods. The rate of adaptation also requires that a good actuator delay estimate be acquired especially for the tests where the peak structural response might occur at the beginning of the tests. This paper presents a model reference adaptive control based method to identify the parameter of a simplified discrete model for servo-hydraulic dynamics and the resulting compensation method. Simulations are conducted using both numerical analysis and experimental results to evaluate the effectiveness of the proposed estimation method.

关键词： real-time testing actuator delay compensation adaptive control MIT rule discrete transfer function